MATCH PREVIEW: Derby County -v- Wednesday

MATCH PREVIEW: Derby County -v- Wednesday

Since the takeover has been announced the Owls haven’t won a game. Can they halt this run at high-flying Derby County or will the Rams maul the Owls?

Another goalless effort at Hillsborough leaves the Owls desperate for a goal and a positive result to come with it — but is Derby the place to do it?

All stats come from Soccerbase and Soccernet.

Last Game Opposition Result Shots On Target Corners Cards Fouls Possession
WEDNESDAY Brighton (H) D 0-0 15 3 8 2 12 56%

Last Game Opposition Result Shots On Target Corners Cards Fouls Possession
DERBY Rotherham (A) D 3-3 16 7 4 0 7 63%

Wednesday’s pathetic goalscoring record at Hillsborough continued. The Owls have scored from open play at S6 just once all season and it never looked likely that it would change against struggling Brighton. The state of the Hillsborough pitch has been used as an argument but at this stage last term, and with a similar pitch, the Owls had scored nearly three times as many goals. To put it in perspective, the Owls are on course for their lowest goal tally in a 46-game season for nearly a decade when the 2005/06 Owls mustered just 39 goals.

Derby recovered a two-goal deficit at Rotherham to get a draw in midweek, Darren Bent snatching an equaliser with seven minutes left in a six-goal thriller. Rams boss Steve McClaren hailed it as one of the most important points they could get this season but the Rams could have gone top with victory.

LAST 5 GAMES Brighton (h) Ipswich (a) Cardiff (h) Reading (a) Birmingham (h)
Wednesday D 0-0 L 2-1 D 1-1 L 2-0 D 0-0

LAST 5 GAMES Rotherham (a) Reading (h) AFC Bournemouth (a) Bolton (h) Cardiff (a)
Derby D 3-3 L 2-1 D 2-2 W 4-1 W 2-0

Wednesday’s winless run is up to six games now with victory at Nottingham Forest being their last success. The lack of goals has been a long running problem but in recent games, sloppy defensive errors have started to creep into the Owls game. A lack of goals and defensive errors is a recipe for footballing disaster.

Derby’s momentum has stalled a little bit in recent weeks but they’re still in a good position to return to the Premier League. Their current winless run of three is as long as it’s got without victory for them this season. There’s not many sides who have beaten Derby on their patch this season but they have fallen to a few surprise results, a home loss to Wigan being chief amongst them.

HEAD 2 HEAD WEDNESDAY WINS DERBY WINS DRAWS
41 46 37

LAST MEETING: 16th August 2014, Hillsborough, Att – 25,186

Wednesday 0-0 Derby County

At the time it was hailed as a good result but it was the first of numerous Hillsborough blanks for the Owls this season.

Our last trip to Derby saw the Owls lose 3-0, we’ve won just once at Derby since they moved to Pride Park/iPro Stadium in 1997 and that was on the final day of the 2005/06 season, Marcus Tudgay and Leon Best scored the goals as the Owls finished their 05/06 season on a high.

You have to go back to 1958 to find our last league win in Derby before that as in recent years the fixtures have for the most part gone Derby’s way, the exception was the league double in 2005/06.

Perhaps our most memorable trip to Derby in recent years was on the opening day of the 2012/13 season, despite being 2-0 down in quick time, a Chris O’Grady stunner and a last gasp Reda Johnson strike saw the Owls send the 5,000 plus who’d made the journey to Derby into raptures.

Wednesday haven’t beaten Derby in the last eleven meetings and failed to score in eight of them.

11 SHADES OF GRAY

Glenn Loovens is out for at least six weeks with his ankle problem, Jose Semedo is also doubtful.

On the plus side Chris Maguire is available again after serving his suspension whilst Will Keane should also be ready to go after being subbed off against Brighton.

Kamil Zayatte should continue in place of Loovens whilst Joe Mattock may return in place of Helan. if Semedo isn’t ready to go Sam Hutchinson should start in the centre of midfield.

Up front Gray has options, he may persevere with Bus and Keane but Nuhiu and May are also options.

 

WESTWOOD

PALMER

PALMER

LEES

LEES

ZAYATTE

ZAYATTE

MATTOCK

MATTOCK

MAGUIRE

MAGUIRE

McGUGAN

McGUGAN

HUTCHINSON

HUTCHINSON

HELAN

HELAN

NUHIU

NUHIU

KEANE

KEANE

KEY PLAYERS

Kamil Zayatte has had a forgettable time at Hillsborough, he was part of the inept Owls defence in the early stages of the 2012/13 season before being ruled out for most of the campaign with injury. This season he’s been an able deputy to Lees and Loovens when available but he’s suffered from injury woes this campaign too. If Zayatte and Lees can forge the same sort of understanding Loovens and Lees did there’s hope for our defence.

Darren Bent has totalled up transfer fees worth nearly £50m over the course of his career – on loan at Derby from Aston Villa, he’s hit his stride quickly netting six goals in his last six appearances, with Tom Ince also in fine fettle of late, the Owls defence will have to deal with a potent Derby attack.

THE BETTING BOX: 5 OF THE BEST

BET Wednesday WIN Derby WIN DRAW Zayatte 1st Goal Correct Score 0-2
BEST ODDS 11/2 4/6 3/1 40/1 7/1
BOOKIES Bookies Badge Bet365 Bookies Badge Coral BetVictor-logo BetVictor-logo BetVictor-logo

Derby are the odds-on favourites here coming in at 4/6, the Owls are 11/2 to net their first away win in over a month whilst the draw is 3/1

Both Teams To Score is Evens at numerous bookies and with the Owls registering more goals on their travels than at Hillsborough may be worth a punt.

With our recent horrible record at Derby, a home win to nil is 7/4 at BoyleSports.

HERE COMES D-JUDGE

Off the pitch things have been good recently, on it things have been crap.

Goals are at a premium and unfortunately chances are starting to dry up too, add to that defensive errors and the odd sloppy goal and it’s not hard to see why we haven’t won in six.

Things don’t get any easier and we have one of our toughest away games of the season at Derby, a side we have a horrible record against and who have been going well but I’m not expecting us to go down to Derby, roll over and have our tummies tickled, for all of our goalscoring woes and problems few sides have found it easy to dispose of us.

Let’s go down there, roll our sleeves up and give it a right good go, take our chances when they come, defend well and maybe,just maybe we have hope of a win.

The pressure’s starting to mount on Stuart Gray and his detractors won’t hesitate to jump on any sort of loss, the reaction last weekend was bad enough with a draw, god knows what a heavy loss would do.

We have a busy period of games coming up, we have to start getting some wins on the board so we can safely ride this season out, add some pieces to the puzzle in the summer and have a real go at the top six.

VERDICT: We lose quite often at Derby, recent form suggests that this isn’t going to change soon – 2-0 to the home side.

Danny (D-Good) Owls Alive
E-MAIL: admin@owlsalive.com
TWITTER: @OwlsAlive or @DGood83


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